Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.999265 1.126281 1.264751 1.427159 1.612729 1.818503 2.064455
2025-12-28 0.829826 1.003259 1.207343 1.466214 1.787242 2.174083 2.678258
2026-01-04 0.709851 0.908731 1.157900 1.495241 1.943453 2.523263 3.337786
2026-01-11 0.622254 0.835911 1.118190 1.522290 2.092237 2.876772 4.054699
2026-01-18 0.551895 0.772722 1.078152 1.537182 2.219514 3.212032 4.794032
2026-01-25 0.485544 0.704478 1.019524 1.513509 2.282488 3.457124 5.432413
2026-02-01 0.421414 0.630496 0.941851 1.448418 2.269585 3.579404 5.889877
2026-02-08 0.374017 0.575515 0.885154 1.406404 2.283787 3.741106 6.430401
2026-02-15 0.336797 0.531829 0.840368 1.376509 2.311320 3.924399 7.031447
2026-02-22 0.319373 0.517609 0.840543 1.420050 2.467461 4.347050 8.131635
2026-03-01 0.298729 0.495702 0.825237 1.434238 2.571935 4.688872 9.131270
2026-03-08 0.273046 0.462600 0.787275 1.403176 2.588219 4.866186 9.828644
2026-03-15 0.247253 0.427866 0.744756 1.362226 2.587005 5.022176 10.538378
2026-03-22 0.237875 0.421485 0.752422 1.417018 2.781459 5.600549 12.278918
2026-03-29 0.226684 0.410646 0.750702 1.453342 2.943815 6.138381 14.039662
2026-04-05 0.215712 0.399072 0.746269 1.483488 3.097267 6.681152 15.926048
2026-04-12 0.204160 0.385206 0.735853 1.499786 3.222640 7.180504 17.810877
2026-04-19 0.189631 0.364108 0.708901 1.477566 3.258181 7.475863 19.228292
2026-04-26 0.172500 0.336260 0.665563 1.414525 3.190564 7.511846 19.949980
2026-05-03 0.159144 0.314957 0.633805 1.373746 3.170392 7.662612 21.028473
2026-05-10 0.148074 0.297449 0.608440 1.344683 3.174867 7.877173 22.341556
2026-05-17 0.143981 0.294277 0.613531 1.387152 3.364039 8.608895 25.392183
2026-05-24 0.137839 0.286157 0.606975 1.400996 3.481654 9.166458 28.032319